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Insights for the Food and Grocery Industry

Low inflation persists, impacting grocery prices and retail strategies

Inflation persists at relatively low levels, with the latest data from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics revealing a 0.4% overall increase in the Consumer Price Index in September. Food-at-home prices rose by a modest 0.1%, which, though lower than the previous months, keeps inflation on the radar for Consumer Packaged Goods (CPGs) and grocers, particularly as the crucial holiday season approaches. The grocery sector experienced fluctuations, with price increases in categories like meats, poultry, fish, and eggs but a 0.4% drop in cereal and bakery product prices. Fruits, vegetables, and nonalcoholic beverages remained steady. While some areas of inflation remain high, food-at-home inflation has stabilised, offering consumers a more predictable shopping experience. Food prices in restaurants continued to climb, with a 0.4% increase in the CPI for food away from home, presenting opportunities and challenges for grocers. Collaboration between suppliers and retailers is crucial, with a focus on price perception and loyalty programmes to provide value and convenience to customers.

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